Immediate and updated forecasting of aftershock hazard
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
California aftershock hazard forecasts.
1) quantile points at the selected times, S, corresponding to the expected probability and ± 1 SD (Table 1). The standard error in P rapidly decreases with increasing time after the mainshock due to the inclusion of current data. For example, at S = 1 day after the mainshock, the ± 1 SD range about the generic 1-day interval probability (0.052) is 0.034 to 0.075 (Table 1). Rydelek suggests esti...
متن کاملSecondary Aftershocks and Their Importance for Aftershock Forecasting
The potential locations of aftershocks, which can be large and damaging, are often forecast by calculating where the mainshock increased stress. We find, however, that the mainshock-induced stress field is often rapidly altered by aftershock-induced stresses. We find that the percentage of aftershocks that are secondary aftershocks, or aftershocks triggered by previous aftershocks, increases wi...
متن کاملhazard evaluation of gas condensate stabilization and dehydration unit of parsian gas refinery using hazop procedures
شناسایی مخاطرات در واحد 400 پالایشگاه گاز پارسیان. در این پروزه با بکارگیری از تکنیک hazop به شناسا یی مخاطرات ، انحرافات ممکن و در صورت لزوم ارایه راهکارهای مناسب جهت افزایش ایمنی فرا یند پرداخته میگردد. شرایط عملیاتی مخاطره آمیز نظیر فشار و دمای بالا و وجود ترکیبات مختلف سمی و قابل انفجار در واحدهای پالایش گاز، ضرورت توجه به موارد ایمنی در این چنین واحدهایی را مشخص می سازد. مطالعه hazop یک ر...
Long aftershock sequences in North China and Central US: implications for hazard assessment in mid-continents
Because seismic activity within mid-continents is usually much lower than that along plate boundary zones, even small earthquakes can cause widespread concerns, especially when these events occur in the source regions of previous large earthquakes. However, these small earthquakes may be just aftershocks that continue for decades or even longer. The recent seismicity in the Tangshan region in N...
متن کاملAftershock Identification
Earthquake aftershock identification is closely related to the question “Are aftershocks different from the rest of earthquakes?” We give a positive answer to this question and introduce a general statistical procedure for clustering analysis of seismicity that can be used, in particular, for aftershock detection. The proposed approach expands the analysis of Baiesi and Paczuski [PRE, 69, 06610...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters
سال: 2006
ISSN: 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1029/2006gl025888